What are the actual realistic chances of Senator Barack Obama getting the nod for the Democratic Nomation?

for President? thank you

Public Comments

1. We won't know until people start voting.
2. Quite good, if not he will most certainly be the VP candidate.
3. i would say about 50 50 between him and hill. One is black the other is a woman. We will see if this drive up the voting rate. I think the statist is that about 33% of americans vote. now if all the black people vote obama that usually dont vote well then he'll prolly win b/c he already has alot of white support. the same arguement can be used if women vote for hill just b/c she's a woman.
4. very realistic, last time around all the polls showed Howard Dean winning up untill a few weeks before the actual Iowa caucus, then Kerry came from behind and creamed him sounds familier? go Obama!!!!!
5. Still too early to tell. Remember that at this point in the last election cycle, Howard Dean was firmly polling in first place for the Democratic nomination. All it took was one, "YEEEEEEHAAAAAWWW" for his candidacy to evaporate.
6. I don't see this election as being divided on the candidates sex and ethnic heritage. It's about the issues. Hillary is not trustworthy, she's an opportunist who's on a career track. Barack stood up to Bush and voted against his war. It makes Obama credible in a way that H. Clinton cannot ever be again. There are enough young voters combined with smart older voters who don't judge people based on race and gender.
7. Very realistic, he's now leading in Iowa. Normally the rest of the country follows suit.